Usm El Harrach vs ASM Oran: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 1er novembre 1954, Algiers
The Footlab model makes Usm El Harrach the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for ASM Oran. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Usm El Harrach vs ASM Oran?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Usm El Harrach (1,834) and ASM Oran (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Usm El Harrach have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; ASM Oran have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | US Chaouia(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 8, 2026 | WA Mostaganem(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | GC Mascara(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Koléa(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | JS Tixeraine(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | CRB Adrar(away) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | RC Kouba(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | WA Mostaganem(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | MC Saida(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Usm El Harrach(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Usm El Harrach win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 ASM Oran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Usm El Harrach 1-2 ASM Oran | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | ASM Oran 0-1 Usm El Harrach | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Usm El Harrach 1-1 ASM Oran | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 26, 2021 | ASM Oran 0-0 Usm El Harrach | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Usm El Harrach 0-0 ASM Oran | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 8, 2019 | Usm El Harrach 0-0 ASM Oran | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Usm El Harrach vs ASM Oran on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Usm El Harrach score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; ASM Oran score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usm El Harrach | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| ASM Oran | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Usm El Harrach sit 2nd in Ligue 2 (62 points from 30 matches) and ASM Oran sit 5th (58 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Usm El Harrach | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 46 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | ASM Oran | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 19 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Usm El Harrach vs ASM Oran?
- The Footlab model makes Usm El Harrach the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for ASM Oran.
- Where and when is Usm El Harrach vs ASM Oran played?
- Usm El Harrach vs ASM Oran is played on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 1er novembre 1954, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.