USM Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset: prediction and stats
Botola 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda, Oujda
The Footlab AI model makes USM Oujda the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Ittihad Khemisset. The most likely score is 1-1. If USM Oujda wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,865 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USM Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate USM Oujda (1,667) and Ittihad Khemisset (1,646).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for USM Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
USM Oujda
Not enough data to predict the USM Oujda lineup.
Ittihad Khemisset
Not enough data to predict the Ittihad Khemisset lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 11:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USM Oujda have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ittihad Khemisset have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | KAC Kenitra(away) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Riadi Salmi(home) | 2-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Wydad Fès(away) | 1-4 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Safi(home) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chabab Mohammédia(away) | 1-0 | Botola 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Riadi Salmi(away) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mouloudia Oujda(home) | 2-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Olympique Safi(away) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Khouribga(home) | 2-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stade Marocain(away) | 1-0 | Botola 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 USM Oujda wins, 1 draw, 1 Ittihad Khemisset win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2023 | Ittihad Khemisset 0-0 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | USM Oujda 1-0 Ittihad Khemisset | Botola 2 |
| Apr 16, 2022 | USM Oujda 3-0 Ittihad Khemisset | Botola 2 |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Ittihad Khemisset 1-0 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ittihad Khemisset vs USM Oujda on Jun 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
USM Oujda score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ittihad Khemisset score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Oujda | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Ittihad Khemisset | 1.1 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USM Oujda sit 5th in Botola 2 (11 points from 6 matches) and Ittihad Khemisset sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ittihad Khemisset | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | USM Oujda | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
A question about USM Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USM Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset?
- The Footlab AI model makes USM Oujda the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Ittihad Khemisset.
- Where and when is USM Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset played?
- USM Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset is played on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda, in the Botola 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 24, 2027KAC KenitravsChabab Mohammédia
- Jan 24, 2027El MassiravsOlympique Safi
- Jan 24, 2027Olympique DcheïravsChabab Ben Guerir
- Jan 24, 2027Riadi SalmivsMouloudia Oujda
- Jan 24, 2027Wydad FèsvsStade Marocain
- Jan 24, 2027Yacoub El MansourvsChabab Atl. Khenifra
- Jan 24, 2027Union Sportive BoujaadvsOlympique Khouribga