Stade Marocain vs USM Oujda: prediction and stats
Botola 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ahmed Achhoud, Rabat
The Footlab AI model makes Stade Marocain the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for USM Oujda. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,319 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Marocain vs USM Oujda?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Stade Marocain (1,667) and USM Oujda (1,644).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stade Marocain vs USM Oujda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stade Marocain
Not enough data to predict the Stade Marocain lineup.
USM Oujda
Not enough data to predict the USM Oujda lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 04:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Marocain have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; USM Oujda have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chabab Atl. Khenifra(home) | 2-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chabab Ben Guerir(away) | 1-0 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ittihad Khemisset(home) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | El Massira(away) | 1-2 | Botola 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Widad Témara(home) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Wydad Fès(away) | 1-4 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Safi(home) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chabab Mohammédia(away) | 1-0 | Botola 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mouloudia Oujda(home) | 2-1 | Botola 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Chabab Atl. Khenifra(home) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stade Marocain wins, 2 draws, 1 USM Oujda win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Stade Marocain 1-0 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | USM Oujda 0-1 Stade Marocain | Botola 2 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Stade Marocain 2-0 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | USM Oujda 1-1 Stade Marocain | Botola 2 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | USM Oujda 3-0 Stade Marocain | Botola 2 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Stade Marocain 1-1 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Marocain vs USM Oujda on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Marocain score 0.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; USM Oujda score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Marocain | 0.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| USM Oujda | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Marocain sit 7th in Botola 2 (6 points from 4 matches) and USM Oujda sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | USM Oujda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Stade Marocain | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
A question about Stade Marocain vs USM Oujda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Marocain vs USM Oujda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stade Marocain the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for USM Oujda.
- Where and when is Stade Marocain vs USM Oujda played?
- Stade Marocain vs USM Oujda is played on January 31, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ahmed Achhoud, in the Botola 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027Chabab Atl. KhenifravsEl Massira
- Jan 31, 2027Olympique KhouribgavsYacoub El Mansour
- Jan 31, 2027Olympique SafivsOlympique Dcheïra
- Jan 31, 2027Mouloudia OujdavsKAC Kenitra
- Jan 31, 2027Ittihad KhemissetvsChabab Ben Guerir
- Jan 31, 2027Riadi SalmivsWydad Fès
- Jan 31, 2027Chabab MohammédiavsUnion Sportive Boujaad