Ústí nad Labem II vs Slovan Velvary: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Labem II the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Slovan Velvary. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ústí nad Labem II vs Slovan Velvary?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Ústí nad Labem II (1,579) and Slovan Velvary (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ústí nad Labem II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Slovan Velvary have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chomutov(away) | 0-5 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sokol Brozany(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hvězda Cheb(away) | 4-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slaný(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Baník Souš(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - CFL B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ústí nad Labem II score 1.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Slovan Velvary score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Labem II | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Slovan Velvary | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ústí nad Labem II sit 15th in 4. liga - Divizie B (1 points from 3 matches) and Slovan Velvary sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovan Velvary | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Ústí nad Labem II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ústí nad Labem II vs Slovan Velvary?
- The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Labem II the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Slovan Velvary.
- Where and when is Ústí nad Labem II vs Slovan Velvary played?
- Ústí nad Labem II vs Slovan Velvary is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.