Štětí vs Karlovy Vary: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Městský Stadion, Štětí
The Footlab model makes Karlovy Vary the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Štětí. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Štětí vs Karlovy Vary?
Karlovy Vary starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Štětí have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Karlovy Vary have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rapid Psáry(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavoj Vyšehrad(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slovan Velvary(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Varnsdorf(home) | 0-6 | Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(away) | 3-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chomutov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Štětí win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Karlovy Vary win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Štětí 1-2 Karlovy Vary | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Karlovy Vary 0-0 Štětí | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Štětí 0-2 Karlovy Vary | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Karlovy Vary 1-0 Štětí | 4. liga - Divizie B |
Last archived meeting: Štětí vs Karlovy Vary on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Štětí score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karlovy Vary score 2.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Štětí | 1.9 | 2.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Karlovy Vary | 2.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Štětí sit 11th in 4. liga - Divizie B (3 points from 3 matches) and Karlovy Vary sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Karlovy Vary | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Štětí | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Štětí vs Karlovy Vary?
- The Footlab model makes Karlovy Vary the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Štětí.
- Where and when is Štětí vs Karlovy Vary played?
- Štětí vs Karlovy Vary is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Městský Stadion, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.