Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kosmonosy: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie CGroup C - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion TJ Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí, Ústí nad Orlicí
The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Kosmonosy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kosmonosy?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Ústí nad Orlicí (1,661) and Kosmonosy (1,684).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ústí nad Orlicí have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kosmonosy have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Letohrad(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim II(away) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Přepeře(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Turnov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Svitavy(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chlumec nad Cidlinou(away) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vysoké Mýto(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Přepeře(away) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Neratovice-Byškovice(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Povltava FA(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ústí nad Orlicí win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kosmonosy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2024 | Kosmonosy 2-2 Ústí nad Orlicí | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Ústí nad Orlicí 3-1 Kosmonosy | 4. liga - Divizie C |
Last archived meeting: Kosmonosy vs Ústí nad Orlicí on May 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ústí nad Orlicí score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kosmonosy score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Orlicí | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kosmonosy | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ústí nad Orlicí sit 1st in 4. liga - Divizie C (7 points from 3 matches) and Kosmonosy sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Kosmonosy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kosmonosy?
- The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Kosmonosy.
- Where and when is Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kosmonosy played?
- Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kosmonosy is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion TJ Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí, in the 4. liga - Divizie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.