Utebo vs Arnedo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Ana, Utebo
The Footlab AI model makes Utebo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Arnedo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utebo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utebo vs Arnedo?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Utebo (1,843) and Arnedo (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utebo vs Arnedo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utebo
Not enough data to predict the Utebo lineup.
Arnedo
Not enough data to predict the Arnedo lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utebo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Arnedo have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Olot(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Peña Sport(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ebro(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Espanyol II(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Utebo win, 1 draw, 0 Arnedo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Utebo 1-0 Arnedo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Arnedo 1-1 Utebo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Utebo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arnedo score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utebo | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Arnedo | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utebo sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Arnedo sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Utebo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | Arnedo | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 0 |
A question about Utebo vs Arnedo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utebo vs Arnedo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utebo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Arnedo.
- Where and when is Utebo vs Arnedo played?
- Utebo vs Arnedo is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Ana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.