Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats
FA CupRound of 64Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Uthai Thani Province Stadium, Uthai Thani
The Footlab AI model makes Uthai Thani the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom?
Uthai Thani starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,584 vs 1,387).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Uthai Thani
4-2-3-1- 9I. Enomoto
- 10B. Davis
- 25R. Maikami
- 77Robertinho
- 7T. Buhagiar
- 22Kelvin
- 3C. Charalampous
- 13Jeong Tae-Wook
- 19W. Playnum
- 5S. Peenagatapho
- 97Caíque
Nakhon Pathom
4-3-3- 11Valdo
- 22P. Viriyachanchai
- 21N. Prachobklang
- 66S. Chaolaokhwan
- 6J. Phupha
- 55C. Otton
- 47A. Sangtong
- 44Amirhossein Nemati
- 5V. Filipović
- 33A. Sangram
- 76K. Pitaksalee
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uthai Thani have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 4-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(away) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Uthai Thani wins, 1 draw, 2 Nakhon Pathom wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 0-2 Uthai Thani | League Cup |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Uthai Thani 2-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Uthai Thani 1-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom 0-3 Uthai Thani | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Uthai Thani on Dec 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Uthai Thani score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uthai Thani | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Nakhon Pathom | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom?
- The Footlab AI model makes Uthai Thani the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Nakhon Pathom.
- Where and when is Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom played?
- Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uthai Thani Province Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.