Ratchaburi vs Uthai Thani: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
The Footlab model makes Ratchaburi the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Uthai Thani. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ratchaburi vs Uthai Thani?
Ratchaburi starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ratchaburi have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Uthai Thani have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(away) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 6-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ratchaburi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Uthai Thani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Ratchaburi 3-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Uthai Thani 2-3 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Uthai Thani 1-2 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Ratchaburi 1-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Ratchaburi 1-0 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Uthai Thani 1-0 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ratchaburi vs Uthai Thani on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ratchaburi score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Uthai Thani score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ratchaburi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Uthai Thani | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ratchaburi sit 3rd in Thai League 1 (59 points from 30 matches) and Uthai Thani sit 11th (31 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 30 | 59 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ratchaburi vs Uthai Thani?
- The Footlab model makes Ratchaburi the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Uthai Thani.
- Where and when is Ratchaburi vs Uthai Thani played?
- Ratchaburi vs Uthai Thani is played on December 6, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Dragon Solar Park, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.