Utrera vs San Roque Lepe: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Juan Bosco, Utrera
The Footlab AI model makes Utrera the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for San Roque Lepe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utrera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utrera vs San Roque Lepe?
On Elo ratings, Utrera has 1,822 points and San Roque Lepe 1,742.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utrera vs San Roque Lepe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utrera
Not enough data to predict the Utrera lineup.
San Roque Lepe
Not enough data to predict the San Roque Lepe lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utrera have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; San Roque Lepe have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Linense(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pozoblanco(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Conil(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Betis C(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bollullos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portuense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Utrera wins, 1 draw, 3 San Roque Lepe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Utrera 2-1 San Roque Lepe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | San Roque Lepe 2-1 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Utrera 0-0 San Roque Lepe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | San Roque Lepe 0-2 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Utrera 0-1 San Roque Lepe | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | San Roque Lepe 3-0 Utrera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Utrera vs San Roque Lepe on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Utrera score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; San Roque Lepe score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrera | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| San Roque Lepe | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utrera sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (15 points from 6 matches) and San Roque Lepe sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utrera | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 9 | San Roque Lepe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Utrera vs San Roque Lepe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utrera vs San Roque Lepe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utrera the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for San Roque Lepe.
- Where and when is Utrera vs San Roque Lepe played?
- Utrera vs San Roque Lepe is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Juan Bosco, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.