Ceuta II vs Sevilla III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
The Footlab AI model makes Ceuta II the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Sevilla III. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,683 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceuta II vs Sevilla III?
On Elo ratings, Ceuta II has 1,798 points and Sevilla III 1,710.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceuta II vs Sevilla III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceuta II
Not enough data to predict the Ceuta II lineup.
Sevilla III
Not enough data to predict the Sevilla III lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 03:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceuta II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sevilla III have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Utrera(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pozoblanco(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Conil(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Conil(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chiclana(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Egabrense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ceuta II wins, 0 draws, 4 Sevilla III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Sevilla III 3-1 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Ceuta II 1-0 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Ceuta II 0-1 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Sevilla III 2-0 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Sevilla III 2-0 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Ceuta II 1-0 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Sevilla III vs Ceuta II on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ceuta II score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla III score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceuta II | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sevilla III | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceuta II sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (11 points from 8 matches) and Sevilla III sit 16th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ceuta II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | Sevilla III | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Ceuta II vs Sevilla III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceuta II vs Sevilla III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceuta II the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Sevilla III.
- Where and when is Ceuta II vs Sevilla III played?
- Ceuta II vs Sevilla III is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.