Uxbridge vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Honeycroft, London
The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uxbridge vs Yate Town?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Uxbridge (1,819) and Yate Town (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uxbridge have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 5-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Uxbridge win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Yate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Yate Town 2-0 Uxbridge | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Uxbridge 1-3 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Uxbridge on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uxbridge sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Uxbridge | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uxbridge vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Uxbridge vs Yate Town played?
- Uxbridge vs Yate Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Honeycroft, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Havant & WvillevsTaunton Town
- Oct 31, 2026Frome TownvsChichester City
- Oct 31, 2026Chertsey TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Oct 31, 2026Evesham UnitedvsBracknell Town
- Oct 31, 2026SholingvsMalvern Town
- Oct 31, 2026Gosport BoroughvsHanwell Town
- Oct 31, 2026Wimborne TownvsChippenham Town
- Oct 31, 2026Gloucester CityvsBerkhamsted