Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town?
Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chertsey Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Chertsey Town 4-2 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 2-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 1-3 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Chertsey Town 3-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Basingstoke Town 3-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Chertsey Town 0-3 Basingstoke Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Havant & WvillevsTaunton Town
- Oct 31, 2026Frome TownvsChichester City
- Oct 31, 2026UxbridgevsYate Town
- Oct 31, 2026Evesham UnitedvsBracknell Town
- Oct 31, 2026SholingvsMalvern Town
- Oct 31, 2026Gosport BoroughvsHanwell Town
- Oct 31, 2026Wimborne TownvsChippenham Town
- Oct 31, 2026Gloucester CityvsBerkhamsted