Match

Uzbekistan U17 vs Italy U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 3Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City

Uzbekistan U17Italy U17

The Footlab model makes Italy U17 the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Uzbekistan U17. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Uzbekistan U17 vs Italy U17?

Italy U17 starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,676).

Uzbekistan U17 win31 %
Draw22 %
Italy U17 win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uzbekistan U17 have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Italy U17 have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Uzbekistan U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 19, 2026Japan U17(away)1-1AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 16, 2026Korea Republic U17(home)2-2AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 13, 2026Australia U17(home)2-0AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 10, 2026India U17(away)3-0AFC U17 Asian Cup
Nov 18, 2025Italy U17(away)2-3World Cup - U17
Italy U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Belgium U17(away)1-1UEFA U17 Championship
Jun 4, 2026Spain U17(home)1-1UEFA U17 Championship
Jun 1, 2026Denmark U17(away)3-3UEFA U17 Championship
May 29, 2026Montenegro U17(away)3-0UEFA U17 Championship
May 26, 2026France U17(home)1-0UEFA U17 Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Uzbekistan U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Italy U17 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 18, 2025Italy U17 3-2 Uzbekistan U17World Cup - U17

Last archived meeting: Italy U17 vs Uzbekistan U17 on Nov 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Uzbekistan U17 score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Italy U17 score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Uzbekistan U172.30.969/1510/15
Italy U171.51.166/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Uzbekistan U17 vs Italy U17?
The Footlab model makes Italy U17 the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Uzbekistan U17.
Where and when is Uzbekistan U17 vs Italy U17 played?
Uzbekistan U17 vs Italy U17 is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fu Jen Catholic University, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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