Valencia vs Gent: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 20, 2015 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Full time
What was the result of Valencia vs Gent?
Valencia won 2-1 on October 20, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 15′S. FeghouliValencia
- 40′T. FoketGent
- 72′S. MitrovićValencia (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valencia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gent have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2015 | Malaga(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 4, 2015 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 29, 2015 | Lyon(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 25, 2015 | Granada CF(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 22, 2015 | Espanyol(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | Royal Excel Mouscron(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 4, 2015 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 4-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 29, 2015 | Zenit(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 26, 2015 | SK Beveren(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Standard Liege(home) | 4-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Valencia score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gent score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gent | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy