Union St. Gilloise vs Gent: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels
The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Gent. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union St. Gilloise wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,783 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Gent?
Union St. Gilloise starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (2,273 vs 2,099).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union St. Gilloise vs Gent
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union St. Gilloise
3-1-4-2- 9M. Biondic
- 38R. Mofokeng
- 27L. Patris
- 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
- 23B. Zeneli
- 6K. Van de Perre
- 28D. Olaru
- 29M. Sylla
- 55N. Havenaar
- 4N. Chibani
- 12H. Koffi
Gent
3-4-2-1- 11M. Sonko
- 20Tiago Araújo
- 17M. Delorge-Knieper
- 27T. De Vlieger
- 57M. Volckaert
- 22Leonardo Lopes
- 45B. Goore
- 16C. Burgess
- 44S. Van der Heyden
- 3M. Paskotši
- 33D. Roef
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union St. Gilloise have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Gent have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nijlen(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 3-3 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Aarhus(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Union St. Gilloise wins, 3 draws, 0 Gent wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Gent 0-0 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 0-0 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 1-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Gent 2-3 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 25, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 3-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gent 0-3 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Gent vs Union St. Gilloise on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union St. Gilloise score 2.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gent score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Gent | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union St. Gilloise sit 4th in Jupiler Pro League (20 points from 8 matches) and Gent sit 1st (22 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 20 |
A question about Union St. Gilloise vs Gent?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs Gent?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Gent.
- Where and when is Union St. Gilloise vs Gent played?
- Union St. Gilloise vs Gent is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Joseph Mariën, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.