Valencia vs Real Madrid: result 1-2 and analysis
La LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 3, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
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What was the result of Valencia vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid won 1-2 on January 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 27′Hugo DuroValencia
- 85′L. ModrićReal Madrid
- 90′J. BellinghamReal Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valencia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Real Madrid have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | Alaves(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Espanyol(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Valladolid(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Ejea(away) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | Sevilla(home) | 4-2 | La Liga |
| Dec 18, 2024 | CF Pachuca(home) | 3-0 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Atalanta(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Girona(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Valencia win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Real Madrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | Valencia 2-2 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Real Madrid 5-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Valencia 1-0 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Real Madrid 2-0 Valencia | La Liga |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Real Madrid 1-1 Valencia | Super Cup |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Real Madrid 4-1 Valencia | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Valencia vs Real Madrid on Mar 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Valencia score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valencia sit 11th in La Liga (1 points from 1 matches) and Real Madrid sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Valencia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy