Valenciennes vs Fleury 91: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes
The Footlab model makes Fleury 91 the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Valenciennes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Fleury 91?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Valenciennes (1,749) and Fleury 91 (1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenciennes have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Fleury 91 have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caen(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Valenciennes win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fleury 91 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Fleury 91 2-0 Valenciennes | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Valenciennes 0-2 Fleury 91 | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valenciennes score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fleury 91 score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Fleury 91 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valenciennes sit 13th in Ligue 3 (3 points from 3 matches) and Fleury 91 sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Valenciennes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Fleury 91 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valenciennes vs Fleury 91?
- The Footlab model makes Fleury 91 the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Valenciennes.
- Where and when is Valenciennes vs Fleury 91 played?
- Valenciennes vs Fleury 91 is played on September 12, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade du Hainaut, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.