Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sarriguren, Sarriguren
The Footlab model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Avance Ezcabarte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Valle Egüés (1,776) and Avance Ezcabarte (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valle Egüés have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Avance Ezcabarte have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ardoi(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Valle Egüés win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Avance Ezcabarte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Valle Egüés 1-0 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Avance Ezcabarte 2-1 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Valle Egüés 1-0 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Avance Ezcabarte 0-0 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Valle Egüés 2-1 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Avance Ezcabarte 5-0 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valle Egüés score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Avance Ezcabarte score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valle Egüés | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Avance Ezcabarte | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valle Egüés sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (42 points from 34 matches) and Avance Ezcabarte sit 8th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Avance Ezcabarte | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 49 | 45 |
| 9 | Valle Egüés | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 57 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte?
- The Footlab model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Avance Ezcabarte.
- Where and when is Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte played?
- Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sarriguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.