Valle Egüés vs San Juan: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sarriguren, Sarriguren
The Footlab model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for San Juan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valle Egüés vs San Juan?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Valle Egüés (1,776) and San Juan (1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valle Egüés have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; San Juan have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 9, 2026 | Ardoi(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Valle Egüés win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 San Juan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Valle Egüés 3-1 San Juan | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | San Juan 1-1 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 10, 2025 | San Juan 1-1 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Valle Egüés 0-1 San Juan | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Valle Egüés 0-3 San Juan | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 18, 2023 | San Juan 2-0 Valle Egüés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Valle Egüés vs San Juan on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valle Egüés score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; San Juan score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valle Egüés | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| San Juan | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valle Egüés sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (42 points from 34 matches) and San Juan sit 5th (52 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | San Juan | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 43 | 28 | 52 |
| 9 | Valle Egüés | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 57 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valle Egüés vs San Juan?
- The Footlab model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for San Juan.
- Where and when is Valle Egüés vs San Juan played?
- Valle Egüés vs San Juan is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sarriguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.