Valour vs Forge: result 2-1 and analysis
Canadian Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 12, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Princess Auto Stadium, Winnipeg, Manitoba
Full time
What was the result of Valour vs Forge?
Valour won 2-1 on September 12, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 22′T. BorgesForge
- 57′K. FroeseValour
- 64′K. FroeseValour
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valour have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Forge have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2025 | Vancouver FC(away) | 5-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Pacific FC(home) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2025 | HFX Wanderers FC(away) | 1-4 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | York United(home) | 0-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Atlético Ottawa(home) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2025 | HFX Wanderers FC(home) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Cavalry FC(away) | 1-4 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Vancouver FC(away) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Atlético Ottawa(home) | 2-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 2-2 | Canadian Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Valour win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Forge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Forge 5-0 Valour | Canadian Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Valour 0-5 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Forge 1-1 Valour | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Valour 0-1 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Valour 2-1 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Forge 2-1 Valour | Canadian Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Valour score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Forge score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valour | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Forge | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy