Match

Ararat-Armenia vs Van: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 14Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yerevan Football Academy, Yerevan

Ararat-ArmeniaVan

The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 87%, against 10% for a draw and 3% for Van. The most likely score is 3-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Van?

Ararat-Armenia is a heavy favourite: 1,832 Elo points against 1,511, a 321-point gap.

87%10%3%
Ararat-Armenia winDrawVan win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ararat-Armenia vs Van

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ararat-Armenia

4-2-3-1
  1. 91Sandro Lima
  1. 77A. Serobyan
  2. 8J. Balanta
  3. 19K. Muradyan
  4. 7Z. Shaghoyan
  5. 10A. Ambartsumyan
  1. 47A. Malis
  2. 43Bruno Wilson
  3. 16E. Grigoryan
  4. 5Luís Felipe
  1. 98João Bravim

Van

4-3-3
  1. 17S. Khalil
  2. 10N. Manukyan
  3. 38T. Gevorgyan
  1. 7P. Avetisyan
  2. 91Danylo Polonskyi
  3. 36V. Makhsudyan
  1. 33T. Voskanyan
  2. 2J. Torres
  3. 13A. Gomes
  4. 23I. I. Daniel
  1. 45D. Bokov

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat-Armenia have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Van have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ararat-Armenia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Torreense(away)2-3UEFA Europa League
Nov 1, 2026Gandzasar(home)3-0Premier League
Oct 29, 2026Olympia Yerevan(away)4-1Cup
Oct 26, 2026FC Noah(home)2-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026AZ Alkmaar(home)0-4UEFA Europa League
Van
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Pyunik Yerevan(home)0-3Premier League
Oct 30, 2026Sardarapat(away)2-2Premier League
Oct 26, 2026Gandzasar(home)2-1Cup
Oct 23, 2026Ararat(home)2-1Premier League
Oct 17, 2026FC Urartu(away)2-5Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ararat-Armenia wins, 3 draws, 0 Van wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Ararat-Armenia 2-0 VanPremier League
Mar 20, 2026Van 2-2 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
Mar 16, 2026Ararat-Armenia 3-0 VanPremier League
Aug 4, 2025Van 0-0 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
Apr 20, 2025Van 2-3 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
Mar 10, 2025Ararat-Armenia 1-1 VanPremier League

Last archived meeting: Ararat-Armenia vs Van on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ararat-Armenia score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Van score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ararat-Armenia1.91.368/1511/15
Van1.02.318/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ararat-Armenia sit 3rd in Premier League (29 points from 12 matches) and Van sit 8th (11 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Ararat-Armenia12921241029
8Van13328123211

A question about Ararat-Armenia vs Van?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ararat-Armenia vs Van?
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 87%, against 10% for a draw and 3% for Van.
Where and when is Ararat-Armenia vs Van played?
Ararat-Armenia vs Van is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yerevan Football Academy, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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