Ararat vs BKMA: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for BKMA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ararat wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat vs BKMA?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Ararat (1,482) and BKMA (1,501).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ararat vs BKMA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ararat
4-3-3- 7P. Handzongo
- 30A. Aslanyan
- 17E. Movsesyan
- 8P. Alekyan
- 10A. Grigoryan
- 6O. Chukwu
- 18Malick Berte
- 3A. Khachumyan
- 55G. Lima
- 33V. Haroyan
- 1A. Anzimati-Aboudou
BKMA
4-3-3- 23M. Asiryan
- 10D. Harutyunyan
- 11D. Davtyan
- 29A. Askaryan
- 47H. Manukyan
- 13H. Sargsyan
- 6A. Petrosyan
- 2A. Khachatryan
- 14P. Krmzyan
- 21D. Dokhoyan
- 22H. Ghazaryan
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; BKMA have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Van(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Urartu(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ararat win, 3 draws, 2 BKMA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | BKMA 1-2 Ararat | Premier League |
| May 26, 2026 | Ararat 1-1 BKMA | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | BKMA 4-0 Ararat | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ararat 2-2 BKMA | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Ararat 1-1 BKMA | Premier League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | BKMA 1-0 Ararat | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; BKMA score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| BKMA | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat sit 8th in Premier League (9 points from 8 matches) and BKMA sit 9th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ararat | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | BKMA | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Ararat vs BKMA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat vs BKMA?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for BKMA.
- Where and when is Ararat vs BKMA played?
- Ararat vs BKMA is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.