Varea vs Haro Deportivo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Varea, Varea
The Footlab AI model makes Varea the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Haro Deportivo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Varea wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,795 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varea vs Haro Deportivo?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Varea (1,833) and Haro Deportivo (1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Varea vs Haro Deportivo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Varea
4-3-3- 9I. Fernandez
- 22M. Padin
- 17A. Gonzalez Puras
- 19I. Garcia
- 18I. Sarriegi
- 10J. Herreros
- 5Rodrigo Esteban
- 4S. Diaz
- 16I. Oliva
- 3P. Santolaya
- 13D. Encinas
Haro Deportivo
Not enough data to predict the Haro Deportivo lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varea have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Haro Deportivo have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 0-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alfaro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Calasancio(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Agoncillo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Varea(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vianés(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Casalarreina(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Calahorra(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Anguiano(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Varea wins, 1 draw, 1 Haro Deportivo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Haro Deportivo 2-1 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Haro Deportivo 1-1 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Varea 3-0 Haro Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Varea 8-0 Haro Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Haro Deportivo 0-3 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Varea 1-0 Haro Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: Haro Deportivo vs Varea on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varea score 0.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Haro Deportivo score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varea | 0.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Haro Deportivo | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varea sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (16 points from 8 matches) and Haro Deportivo sit 1st (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Varea | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
A question about Varea vs Haro Deportivo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varea vs Haro Deportivo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varea the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Haro Deportivo.
- Where and when is Varea vs Haro Deportivo played?
- Varea vs Haro Deportivo is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Varea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.