Anguiano vs Varea: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Isla Anguiano, Anguiano
The Footlab AI model makes Varea the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Anguiano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Varea wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anguiano vs Varea?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Anguiano (1,798) and Varea (1,865).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Anguiano vs Varea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Anguiano
Not enough data to predict the Anguiano lineup.
Varea
Not enough data to predict the Varea lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anguiano have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Varea have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Yagüe(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alfaro(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Calasancio(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Agoncillo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Agoncillo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Oyonesa(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Calzada(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pradejón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Marcial(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Anguiano wins, 2 draws, 1 Varea win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Varea 0-0 Anguiano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Anguiano 1-2 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 26, 2024 | Anguiano 2-1 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 19, 2024 | Varea 1-1 Anguiano | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Varea 0-2 Anguiano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Anguiano 2-1 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Anguiano score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Varea score 0.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anguiano | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Varea | 0.8 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anguiano sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (8 points from 6 matches) and Varea sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Varea | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Anguiano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Anguiano vs Varea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anguiano vs Varea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varea the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Anguiano.
- Where and when is Anguiano vs Varea played?
- Anguiano vs Varea is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Isla Anguiano, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.