Varea vs Lugo: result 1-5 and analysis
Copa FederacionRound of 32Kick-off on September 25, 2024 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Varea, Varea
Full time
What was the result of Varea vs Lugo?
Lugo won 1-5 on September 25, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 8′?Lugo
- 25′F. LesmeLugo
- 54′?Varea
- 58′?Lugo
- 76′F. LesmeLugo
- 88′Martín OchoaLugo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varea have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lugo have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Comillas(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Yagüe(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Haro Deportivo(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 26, 2024 | Anguiano(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 19, 2024 | Anguiano(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Barakaldo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Sestao River(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Varea score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varea | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Lugo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy