Varnsdorf vs Velké Hamry: prediction and stats
3. liga - CFL BGroup B - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion v Kotlině, Varnsdorf
The Footlab model makes Varnsdorf the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Velké Hamry. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varnsdorf vs Velké Hamry?
Varnsdorf starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varnsdorf have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Velké Hamry have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benátky nad Jizerou(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hradec Králové II(home) | 5-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jablonec II(away) | 0-6 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sokol Zápy(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slovan Liberec II(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Přepeře(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sokol Brozany(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - CFL B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Varnsdorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Velké Hamry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Velké Hamry 0-2 Varnsdorf | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Varnsdorf 1-5 Velké Hamry | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 14, 2019 | Velké Hamry 0-4 Varnsdorf | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Velké Hamry vs Varnsdorf on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varnsdorf score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Velké Hamry score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varnsdorf | 2.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Velké Hamry | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varnsdorf sit 11th in 3. liga - CFL B (37 points from 32 matches) and Velké Hamry sit 14th (31 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Varnsdorf | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 65 | 37 |
| 14 | Velké Hamry | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varnsdorf vs Velké Hamry?
- The Footlab model makes Varnsdorf the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Velké Hamry.
- Where and when is Varnsdorf vs Velké Hamry played?
- Varnsdorf vs Velké Hamry is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion v Kotlině, in the 3. liga - CFL B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.