Varzim vs Estrela: result 3-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 21, 2021 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Varzim Sport Club, Póvoa de Varzim
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What was the result of Varzim vs Estrela?
Varzim won 3-1 on September 21, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 8′HeliardoVarzim
- 45′HeliardoVarzim (pen.)
- 54′Luís SilvaVarzim
- 68′PaulinhoEstrela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varzim have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Estrela have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2021 | Leixoes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Nacional(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Academica(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Chaves(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2021 | Academica(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Rio Ave(home) | 2-5 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Farense(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Trofense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Mafra(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Varzim win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2021 | Varzim 0-1 Estrela | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Varzim score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varzim | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Estrela | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy