Varzim vs União Santarém: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga 3Promotion Group - 7Kick-off on March 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Varzim Sport Club, Póvoa de Varzim
Full time
What was the result of Varzim vs União Santarém?
Varzim won 1-0 on March 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 90′JoaozinhoVarzim (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varzim have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; União Santarém have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Academica(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Academica(away) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Varzim score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; União Santarém score 1.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varzim | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| União Santarém | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varzim sit 1st in Liga 3 (9 points from 3 matches) and União Santarém sit 10th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | União Santarém | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy