Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin: result 1-0 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaRound of 32Kick-off on July 29, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin?
Vasco DA Gama won 1-0 on July 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 85′Thiago MendesVasco DA Gama
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Vasco DA Gama win at 58%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Vasco DA Gama
- 77C. Spinelli
- 3Tchê Tchê
- 11A. Gómez
- 17Nuno Moreira
- 23Thiago Mendes
- 83Ramon Rique
- 6Lucas Piton
- 30Robert Renan
- 46C. Cuesta
- 96Paulo Henrique
- 1Léo Jardim
Independiente Medellin
- 9J. Medina
- 6D. Moreno
- 16H. Loboa
- 20J. Montaño
- 21A. Martegani
- 70J. Córdoba
- 4K. Mantilla
- 5J. Varela
- 13J. Mena
- 26E. Mena
- 25E. Chaux
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasco DA Gama have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2026 | Barracas Central(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 3-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Cucuta(home) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| May 29, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| May 27, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Vasco DA Gama wins, 1 draw, 0 Independiente Medellin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Independiente Medellin 2-2 Vasco DA Gama | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama on Jul 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vasco DA Gama score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Medellin score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Independiente Medellin | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vasco DA Gama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy