Bolívar vs Gremio: result 3-2 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaRound of 32Kick-off on July 23, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
Full time
What was the result of Bolívar vs Gremio?
Bolívar won 3-2 on July 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 2′M. CauteruccioBolívar
- 16′M. VillasantiGremio
- 18′R. MatheusBolívar
- 23′TetêGremio
- 58′D. AsprillaBolívar
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bolívar win at 58%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Bolívar vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bolívar
- 9M. Cauteruccio
- 27D. Asprilla
- 6E. Vaca
- 14R. Matheus
- 17P. Rodríguez
- 80C. Melgar
- 2Jesús Sagredo
- 3X. Arreaga
- 4Jose Sagredo
- 5S. Echeverría
- 1C. Lampe
Gremio
- 21Tetê
- 22M. Braithwaite
- 99J. Enamorado
- 17Dodi
- 20M. Villasanti
- 33L. Pérez
- 3Wagner Leonardo
- 7C. Pavón
- 43Luis Eduardo
- 54Pedro Gabriel
- 1Weverton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolívar have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Guabirá(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| May 31, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| May 28, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 19, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 16, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 23, 2026 | Santos(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolívar score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolívar | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
A question about Bolívar vs Gremio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy