Vasco DA Gama vs Nautico Recife: result 4-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on June 6, 2012 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Vasco DA Gama vs Nautico Recife?
Vasco DA Gama won 4-2 on June 6, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 22′Alecsandro Barbosa FelisbinoVasco DA Gama
- 36′Felipe Jorge LoureiroVasco DA Gama
- 63′Juninho PernambucanoVasco DA Gama
- 67′Luis Fernando Lojudice MartinezNautico Recife
- 69′Alecsandro Barbosa FelisbinoVasco DA Gama
- 89′Clemerson de Araújo SantosNautico Recife
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasco DA Gama have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Nautico Recife have 0, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2012 | Portuguesa(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 20, 2012 | Gremio(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Flamengo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 27, 2011 | Fluminense(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Avai(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2012 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 20, 2012 | Figueirense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Vasco DA Gama score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Recife score 0.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Nautico Recife | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Vasco DA Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy