Vatan Sport vs Hemelingen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BSA Gröpelingen, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Hemelingen the favourite at 79%, against 11% for a draw and 10% for Vatan Sport. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vatan Sport vs Hemelingen?
Hemelingen is a heavy favourite: 2,000 Elo points against 1,649 — a 351-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vatan Sport have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Hemelingen have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Geestemünde(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 1-9 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leher TS(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 7-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Vatan Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Hemelingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Hemelingen 7-2 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Vatan Sport 0-7 Hemelingen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Vatan Sport 0-9 Hemelingen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Hemelingen 2-2 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Vatan Sport 1-6 Hemelingen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Hemelingen 3-2 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Hemelingen vs Vatan Sport on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vatan Sport score 2.2 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hemelingen score 3.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vatan Sport | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
| Hemelingen | 3.7 | 1.3 | 8 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vatan Sport sit 3rd in Oberliga - Bremen (7 points from 3 matches) and Hemelingen sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vatan Sport | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Hemelingen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vatan Sport vs Hemelingen?
- The Footlab model makes Hemelingen the favourite at 79%, against 11% for a draw and 10% for Vatan Sport.
- Where and when is Vatan Sport vs Hemelingen played?
- Vatan Sport vs Hemelingen is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BSA Gröpelingen, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.