Geestemünde vs Union Bremen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, Bremerhaven
The Footlab AI model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 51%, against 18% for a draw and 31% for Geestemünde. The most likely score is 2-2. If Union Bremen wins, the most likely score is 2-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geestemünde vs Union Bremen?
On Elo ratings, Geestemünde has 1,724 points and Union Bremen 1,783.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Geestemünde vs Union Bremen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Geestemünde
Not enough data to predict the Geestemünde lineup.
Union Bremen
Not enough data to predict the Union Bremen lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geestemünde have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Union Bremen have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Oberneuland(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Leher TS(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Grohn(home) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 5, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Eiche Horn(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Geestemünde wins, 2 draws, 1 Union Bremen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Geestemünde 4-4 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Union Bremen 3-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Geestemünde 3-0 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Union Bremen 1-5 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Union Bremen 1-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Geestemünde 4-1 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Geestemünde vs Union Bremen on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geestemünde score 2.4 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union Bremen score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geestemünde | 2.4 | 3.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Union Bremen | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geestemünde sit 12th in Oberliga - Bremen (8 points from 8 matches) and Union Bremen sit 6th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Union Bremen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 12 |
| 12 | Geestemünde | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 28 | 8 |
A question about Geestemünde vs Union Bremen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geestemünde vs Union Bremen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 51%, against 18% for a draw and 31% for Geestemünde.
- Where and when is Geestemünde vs Union Bremen played?
- Geestemünde vs Union Bremen is played on October 18, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.