Geestemünde vs Union Bremen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, Bremerhaven
The Footlab model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 52%, against 18% for a draw and 30% for Geestemünde. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geestemünde vs Union Bremen?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Geestemünde (1,695) and Union Bremen (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geestemünde have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Union Bremen have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woltmershausen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Oberneuland(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Geestemünde win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Union Bremen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Geestemünde 4-4 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Union Bremen 3-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Geestemünde 3-0 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Union Bremen 1-5 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Union Bremen 1-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Geestemünde 4-1 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Geestemünde vs Union Bremen on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 15; Union Bremen score 2.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 89% probability of over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Union Bremen | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geestemünde sit 13th in Oberliga - Bremen (1 points from 3 matches) and Union Bremen sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Union Bremen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Geestemünde | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geestemünde vs Union Bremen?
- The Footlab model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 52%, against 18% for a draw and 30% for Geestemünde.
- Where and when is Geestemünde vs Union Bremen played?
- Geestemünde vs Union Bremen is played on October 18, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 89% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.