Vatan Sport vs Blumenthaler SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)BSA Gröpelingen, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Blumenthaler SV the favourite at 76%, against 13% for a draw and 11% for Vatan Sport. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vatan Sport vs Blumenthaler SV?
Blumenthaler SV is a heavy favourite: 1,956 Elo points against 1,646 — a 309-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vatan Sport have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Blumenthaler SV have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Geestemünde(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Schwachhausen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vatan Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Blumenthaler SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV 4-0 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Vatan Sport 3-2 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 16, 2025 | Blumenthaler SV 5-1 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Vatan Sport 2-2 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 1, 2024 | Blumenthaler SV 7-1 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Vatan Sport 2-1 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Blumenthaler SV vs Vatan Sport on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vatan Sport score 2.2 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Blumenthaler SV score 3.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vatan Sport | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
| Blumenthaler SV | 3.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vatan Sport sit 3rd in Oberliga - Bremen (7 points from 3 matches) and Blumenthaler SV sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenthaler SV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Vatan Sport | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vatan Sport vs Blumenthaler SV?
- The Footlab model makes Blumenthaler SV the favourite at 76%, against 13% for a draw and 11% for Vatan Sport.
- Where and when is Vatan Sport vs Blumenthaler SV played?
- Vatan Sport vs Blumenthaler SV is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at BSA Gröpelingen, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.