Vega Real vs Cibao: prediction and stats
Liga MayorSemi-finalsKick-off on November 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Cibao the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Vega Real. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cibao wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vega Real vs Cibao?
Cibao starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,627).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vega Real vs Cibao
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vega Real
Not enough data to predict the Vega Real lineup.
Cibao
4-3-3- 9D. Ledesma
- 17E. Reyes
- 7Yunior Peralta
- 27A. Sosa
- 14Jean Carlos López Moscoso
- 5Ismael Diaz
- 3J. Murillo
- 2D. Palomeque
- 24J. Urbáez
- 4O. Florencio
- 1M. Lloyd
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vega Real have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cibao have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Jarabacoa(away) | 2-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(home) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlántico(away) | 1-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cibao(home) | 0-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salcedo(home) | 0-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Salcedo(home) | 1-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Universidad O&M(away) | 2-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Moca(home) | 2-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Vega Real(away) | 0-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlántico(home) | 7-0 | Liga Mayor |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Vega Real wins, 1 draw, 5 Cibao wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Vega Real 0-0 Cibao | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Cibao 2-1 Vega Real | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Vega Real 1-3 Cibao | Liga Mayor |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Cibao 2-0 Vega Real | Liga Mayor |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Vega Real 1-2 Cibao | Copa LDF |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Cibao 3-0 Vega Real | Liga Mayor |
How many goals should we expect?
Vega Real score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cibao score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vega Real | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cibao | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vega Real sit 3rd in Liga Mayor (18 points from 13 matches) and Cibao sit 2nd (27 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cibao | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Vega Real | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
A question about Vega Real vs Cibao?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vega Real vs Cibao?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cibao the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Vega Real.
- Where and when is Vega Real vs Cibao played?
- Vega Real vs Cibao is played on November 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Mayor.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.