Match

Vegas vs Diables Noirs: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Matchday 5Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

VegasDiables Noirs

The Footlab AI model makes Diables Noirs the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Vegas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Diables Noirs wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vegas vs Diables Noirs?

Diables Noirs starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,511 vs 1,364).

33%32%35%
Vegas winDrawDiables Noirs win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Vegas vs Diables Noirs

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Vegas

Not enough data to predict the Vegas lineup.

Diables Noirs

4-3-3
  1. 29Y. Ngatse
  2. 37M. Nkounkou
  3. 30J. Bayindula
  1. 9Blarin Audavy Kibama Maloula
  2. 8Hardy Alain Samarange Binguila
  3. 15Teji Lutonadio Muingela
  1. 12F. Niamathé
  2. 33A. Kasereka
  3. 38Tony Lionge
  4. 23Janard Berlohd Mbemba Kambamba
  1. 22W. Ngobo

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:31 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vegas have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Diables Noirs have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vegas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 2, 2024Étoile du Congo(away)0-3Ligue 1
May 25, 2024Nathaly's(away)2-3Ligue 1
May 17, 2024Diables Noirs(away)2-1Ligue 1
May 10, 2024Inter Club(home)1-2Ligue 1
May 5, 2024V.Club Mokanda(home)0-0Ligue 1
Diables Noirs
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2025Otôho d'Oyo(away)0-2Ligue 1
Mar 23, 2025Étoile du Congo(away)0-3Ligue 1
Mar 16, 2025Otôho d'Oyo(home)0-1Ligue 1
Mar 9, 2025Patronage Sainte-Anne(home)0-1Ligue 1
Mar 1, 2025CARA Brazzaville(home)2-1Ligue 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vegas win, 0 draws, 1 Diables Noirs win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2024Diables Noirs 1-2 VegasLigue 1
Jan 3, 2024Diables Noirs 4-1 VegasLigue 1

Last archived meeting: Diables Noirs vs Vegas on May 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Vegas score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Diables Noirs score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vegas0.91.446/157/15
Diables Noirs1.00.962/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Diables Noirs1001020

A question about Vegas vs Diables Noirs?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vegas vs Diables Noirs?
The Footlab AI model makes Diables Noirs the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Vegas.
Where and when is Vegas vs Diables Noirs played?
Vegas vs Diables Noirs is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vegas and Diables Noirs