Velarde vs Atlético Albericia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Maruca, Muriedas
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Albericia the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Velarde. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Albericia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Velarde vs Atlético Albericia?
Atlético Albericia starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,592).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Velarde vs Atlético Albericia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Velarde
4-3-3- JJaime Fernández
- BBorja Menaut
- VVíctor Sánchez
- JJorge Gómez
- MManuel Cuesta
- JJuan González - Madroño Lostal
- MMiki Palleiro
- OOjembarrena
- DDiego Guemes
- NNicolás Sainz
- MMarcos Parada
Atlético Albericia
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Albericia lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velarde have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Atlético Albericia have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Torina(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sámano(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cayón(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Guarnizo(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Castro(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Revilla(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Solares(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Velarde wins, 0 draws, 2 Atlético Albericia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | Atlético Albericia 4-0 Velarde | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Velarde 0-1 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Albericia vs Velarde on Mar 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Velarde score 0.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Albericia score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velarde | 0.7 | 2.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlético Albericia | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Velarde sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 8 matches) and Atlético Albericia sit 13th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Atlético Albericia | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | Velarde | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Velarde vs Atlético Albericia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Velarde vs Atlético Albericia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Albericia the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Velarde.
- Where and when is Velarde vs Atlético Albericia played?
- Velarde vs Atlético Albericia is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Maruca, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.