Velarde vs Atlético Mineros: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Maruca, Muriedas
The Footlab AI model makes Velarde the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Atlético Mineros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Velarde wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,847 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Velarde vs Atlético Mineros?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Velarde (1,555) and Atlético Mineros (1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Velarde vs Atlético Mineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Velarde
Not enough data to predict the Velarde lineup.
Atlético Mineros
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Mineros lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 06:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velarde have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Atlético Mineros have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Torina(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sámano(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cayón(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Escobedo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Torina(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Velarde wins, 1 draw, 2 Atlético Mineros wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlético Mineros 4-2 Velarde | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Atlético Mineros 4-3 Velarde | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Velarde 2-2 Atlético Mineros | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Mineros vs Velarde on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Velarde score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mineros score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velarde | 0.6 | 2.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlético Mineros | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Velarde sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 9 matches) and Atlético Mineros sit 9th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlético Mineros | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 10 |
| 17 | Velarde | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 5 |
A question about Velarde vs Atlético Mineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Velarde vs Atlético Mineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Velarde the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Atlético Mineros.
- Where and when is Velarde vs Atlético Mineros played?
- Velarde vs Atlético Mineros is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Maruca, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.