Velež Nevesinje vs Omarska: prediction and stats
1st League - RSRS - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion Nevesinje, Nevesinje
The Footlab model makes Velež Nevesinje the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Omarska. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Velež Nevesinje vs Omarska?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Velež Nevesinje (1,277) and Omarska (1,220).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velež Nevesinje have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Omarska have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavija(home) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | FK Romanija Pale(away) | 4-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | Sutjeska Foča(home) | 6-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Zvijezda 09(away) | 1-6 | 1st League - RS |
| May 19, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(home) | 2-1 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Potkozarje(away) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Sutjeska Foča(home) | 3-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | Zvijezda 09(away) | 2-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(home) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 1-3 | 1st League - RS |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Velež Nevesinje win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Omarska win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Omarska 3-2 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Omarska 2-1 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Velež Nevesinje 2-0 Omarska | 1st League - RS |
| May 4, 2024 | Velež Nevesinje 2-1 Omarska | 1st League - RS |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Omarska 2-3 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
Last archived meeting: Omarska vs Velež Nevesinje on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Velež Nevesinje score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Omarska score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velež Nevesinje | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Omarska | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Velež Nevesinje sit 3rd in 1st League - RS (39 points from 29 matches) and Omarska sit 5th (35 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Velež Nevesinje | 29 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 54 | 39 |
| 5 | Omarska | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 52 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Velež Nevesinje vs Omarska?
- The Footlab model makes Velež Nevesinje the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Omarska.
- Where and when is Velež Nevesinje vs Omarska played?
- Velež Nevesinje vs Omarska is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion Nevesinje, in the 1st League - RS.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.