Leotar vs Omarska: prediction and stats
1st League - RSRS - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Police, Trebinje
The Footlab model makes Leotar the favourite at 78%, against 16% for a draw and 6% for Omarska. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leotar vs Omarska?
Leotar starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,432 vs 1,221).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leotar have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Omarska have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Drina Zvornik(home) | 2-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 24, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(away) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Laktaši(home) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 10, 2026 | Slavija(away) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 2, 2026 | Kozara Gradiška(home) | 2-0 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Potkozarje(away) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Sutjeska Foča(home) | 3-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | Zvijezda 09(away) | 2-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(home) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 1-3 | 1st League - RS |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Leotar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Omarska win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Leotar 5-1 Omarska | 1st League - RS |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Omarska 1-1 Leotar | 1st League - RS |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Leotar 1-0 Omarska | 1st League - RS |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Omarska 0-1 Leotar | 1st League - RS |
How many goals should we expect?
Leotar score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Omarska score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leotar | 1.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Omarska | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leotar sit 2nd in 1st League - RS (53 points from 29 matches) and Omarska sit 5th (35 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leotar | 29 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 41 | 17 | 53 |
| 5 | Omarska | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 52 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leotar vs Omarska?
- The Footlab model makes Leotar the favourite at 78%, against 16% for a draw and 6% for Omarska.
- Where and when is Leotar vs Omarska played?
- Leotar vs Omarska is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Police, in the 1st League - RS.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.