Vélez vs Estepona: result 1-0 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub Friendlies 4Kick-off on August 26, 2023 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vivar Téllez, Vélez-Málaga
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What was the result of Vélez vs Estepona?
Vélez won 1-0 on August 26, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vélez have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Estepona have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2023 | Algeciras(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2023 | Utrera(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 7, 2023 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2023 | Malaga(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Cádiz II(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2023 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2023 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 7, 2023 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Vélez wins, 0 draws, 0 Estepona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2021 | Vélez 1-0 Estepona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Estepona 0-1 Vélez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vélez score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Estepona score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vélez | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Estepona | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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