Velo Clube vs Comercial: result 3-1 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 8Kick-off on February 10, 2024 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Benito Agnelo Castellano, Rio Claro, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Velo Clube vs Comercial?
Velo Clube won 3-1 on February 10, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 42′Guilherme MartineliVelo Clube
- 43′FelipeVelo Clube
- 67′Mayco FélixVelo Clube
- 72′AlanComercial
Official lineup for Velo Clube vs Comercial
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Velo Clube
- DDG
- MMayco Félix
- MMateus Norton
- FFelipe
- MMizael
- LLucas Cezane
- LLéo Campos
- MMiguel Alcântara
- GGuilherme Martineli
- RRodrigo Gaia
- GGabriel Félix
Comercial
- FFidel
- VVitor de Lucas Barros
- CClaudemir
- WWillyam
- DDiego
- JJúnior Sergipano
- PPaulo
- LLuiz Henrique Motta
- LLucca
- IIgor
- LLeonardo Paiva
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velo Clube have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Comercial have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | Noroeste(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Ferroviária(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Portuguesa Santista(home) | 1-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Oeste(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Juventus(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | Primavera SP(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Sao Bento(home) | 0-3 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Noroeste(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Ferroviária(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Linense(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Velo Clube wins, 1 draw, 3 Comercial wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Comercial 2-1 Velo Clube | Paulista - A2 |
| Oct 5, 2021 | Velo Clube 0-1 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 28, 2021 | Comercial 0-0 Velo Clube | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 20, 2020 | Comercial 2-1 Velo Clube | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Velo Clube 2-1 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Comercial 0-1 Velo Clube | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Comercial vs Velo Clube on Feb 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Velo Clube score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.6 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velo Clube | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Comercial | 0.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Velo Clube vs Comercial?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy