VfB Lübeck vs SV Drochtersen/Assel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for VfB Lübeck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Lübeck vs SV Drochtersen/Assel?
SV Drochtersen/Assel starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,903).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Lübeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; SV Drochtersen/Assel have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfB Lübeck win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SV Drochtersen/Assel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | VfB Lübeck 1-1 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 17, 2025 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 7-2 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Feb 21, 2025 | VfB Lübeck 0-1 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 23, 2024 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 1-1 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 5, 2023 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 0-1 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 28, 2022 | VfB Lübeck 2-0 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs SV Drochtersen/Assel on Apr 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Drochtersen/Assel score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| SV Drochtersen/Assel | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Lübeck sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nord (2 points from 4 matches) and SV Drochtersen/Assel sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Lübeck vs SV Drochtersen/Assel?
- The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for VfB Lübeck.
- Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs SV Drochtersen/Assel played?
- VfB Lübeck vs SV Drochtersen/Assel is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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