Where and when is St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck played?

St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt

St. Pauli II

Phönix Lübeck

The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,755).

St. Pauli II win21 %

Draw23 %

Phönix Lübeck win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Pauli II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Phönix Lübeck have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St. Pauli II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Werder Bremen II(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	Bremer SV(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026	Todesfelde(away)	4-6	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Phönix Lübeck
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	VfB Lübeck(home)	4-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	Bremer SV(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(home)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026	SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 St. Pauli II win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Phönix Lübeck win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2026	Phönix Lübeck 3-0 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 27, 2025	St. Pauli II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Apr 21, 2025	Phönix Lübeck 2-0 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 25, 2024	St. Pauli II 3-5 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Mar 27, 2024	St. Pauli II 0-0 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 27, 2023	Phönix Lübeck 2-1 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
St. Pauli II	1.2	1.9	1	10/15	6/15
Phönix Lübeck	1.8	1.5	5	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St. Pauli II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nord (3 points from 4 matches) and Phönix Lübeck sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Phönix Lübeck	4	2	1	1	7	2	7
14	St. Pauli II	4	1	0	3	6	10	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck?: The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck played?: St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.