Where and when is VfR Aalen vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?

VfR Aalen vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfR Aalen vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)CENTUS ARENA, Aalen

VfR Aalen

FSV Mainz 05 II

The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfR Aalen vs FSV Mainz 05 II?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate VfR Aalen (1,969) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915).

VfR Aalen win47 %

Draw23 %

FSV Mainz 05 II win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Aalen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfR Aalen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)	0-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	TSV Steinbach(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026	Freiburg II(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 26, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

FSV Mainz 05 II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026	FSV Frankfurt(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026	Kreuzlingen(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfR Aalen win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 2, 2024	VfR Aalen 0-0 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 29, 2023	FSV Mainz 05 II 1-1 VfR Aalen	Regionalliga - SudWest
Apr 15, 2023	FSV Mainz 05 II 4-1 VfR Aalen	Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 9, 2022	VfR Aalen 0-2 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Nov 27, 2021	VfR Aalen 4-3 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 14, 2021	FSV Mainz 05 II 3-1 VfR Aalen	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: VfR Aalen vs FSV Mainz 05 II on Mar 2, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfR Aalen	2.2	1.0	6	8/15	9/15
FSV Mainz 05 II	1.4	1.4	4	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfR Aalen sit 15th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	FSV Mainz 05 II	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
15	VfR Aalen	3	0	2	1	2	5	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfR Aalen vs FSV Mainz 05 II?: The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
Where and when is VfR Aalen vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?: VfR Aalen vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.