Where and when is VfR Aalen vs SSV Ulm 1846 played?

VfR Aalen vs SSV Ulm 1846 is played on September 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfR Aalen vs SSV Ulm 1846: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 6Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)CENTUS ARENA, Aalen

VfR Aalen

SSV Ulm 1846

The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for SSV Ulm 1846. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfR Aalen vs SSV Ulm 1846?

VfR Aalen starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,969 vs 1,775).

VfR Aalen win61 %

Draw20 %

SSV Ulm 1846 win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Aalen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; SSV Ulm 1846 have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfR Aalen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)	0-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	TSV Steinbach(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026	Freiburg II(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 26, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

SSV Ulm 1846
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 14, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 7, 2026	Stuttgarter Kickers(away)	2-4	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026	SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Stuttgart II(home)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 VfR Aalen win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 SSV Ulm 1846 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 19, 2023	VfR Aalen 0-8 SSV Ulm 1846	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 4, 2023	SSV Ulm 1846 0-0 VfR Aalen	Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 24, 2022	VfR Aalen 1-1 SSV Ulm 1846	Regionalliga - SudWest
Apr 16, 2022	SSV Ulm 1846 4-1 VfR Aalen	Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 26, 2021	VfR Aalen 1-2 SSV Ulm 1846	Regionalliga - SudWest
Mar 6, 2021	VfR Aalen 0-1 SSV Ulm 1846	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: VfR Aalen vs SSV Ulm 1846 on Jul 19, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Ulm 1846 score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfR Aalen	2.2	1.0	6	8/15	9/15
SSV Ulm 1846	1.3	2.1	1	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfR Aalen sit 15th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and SSV Ulm 1846 sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	VfR Aalen	3	0	2	1	2	5	2
17	SSV Ulm 1846	3	0	1	2	4	8	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfR Aalen vs SSV Ulm 1846?: The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for SSV Ulm 1846.
Where and when is VfR Aalen vs SSV Ulm 1846 played?: VfR Aalen vs SSV Ulm 1846 is played on September 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.