SV Sandhausen vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 6Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)GP Stadion am Hardtwald, Sandhausen
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for SV Sandhausen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Sandhausen vs SGV Freiberg?
SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,871).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Sandhausen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away) | 4-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(away) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 SV Sandhausen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SGV Freiberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | SGV Freiberg 1-2 SV Sandhausen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 8, 2025 | SV Sandhausen 1-0 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs SV Sandhausen on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Sandhausen score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Sandhausen sit 8th in Regionalliga - SudWest (4 points from 3 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Sandhausen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Sandhausen vs SGV Freiberg?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for SV Sandhausen.
- Where and when is SV Sandhausen vs SGV Freiberg played?
- SV Sandhausen vs SGV Freiberg is played on September 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at GP Stadion am Hardtwald, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 8, 2026VfR AalenvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Sep 8, 2026FSV Mainz 05 IIvsVfR Mannheim
- Sep 8, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsHessen Kassel
- Sep 8, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsStuttgarter Kickers
- Sep 8, 2026Eintracht TriervsFreiburg II
- Sep 8, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsTSV Steinbach
- Sep 8, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsKaiserslautern II
- Sep 8, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsEintracht Frankfurt II