Match

SV Sandhausen vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 6Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)GP Stadion am Hardtwald, Sandhausen

SV SandhausenSGV Freiberg

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for SV Sandhausen. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Sandhausen vs SGV Freiberg?

SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,871).

SV Sandhausen win20 %
Draw20 %
SGV Freiberg win60 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Sandhausen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Sandhausen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC 08 Homburg(home)1-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away)4-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026TSV Steinbach(home)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 25, 2026Wormatia Worms(away)6-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026FC Saarbrücken(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
SGV Freiberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026VfR Mannheim(away)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026FC 08 Homburg(home)3-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)5-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)1-6Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 SV Sandhausen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SGV Freiberg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026SGV Freiberg 1-2 SV SandhausenRegionalliga - SudWest
Nov 8, 2025SV Sandhausen 1-0 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs SV Sandhausen on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SV Sandhausen score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Sandhausen2.12.0212/1512/15
SGV Freiberg1.72.149/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Sandhausen sit 8th in Regionalliga - SudWest (4 points from 3 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SGV Freiberg3210807
8SV Sandhausen3111784

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Sandhausen vs SGV Freiberg?
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for SV Sandhausen.
Where and when is SV Sandhausen vs SGV Freiberg played?
SV Sandhausen vs SGV Freiberg is played on September 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at GP Stadion am Hardtwald, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SV Sandhausen and SGV Freiberg

Ready to know everything about football?