VfR Neumünster vs Eckernförder SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Grümmi-Arena, Neumünster
The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 69%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Eckernförder SV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Neumünster vs Eckernförder SV?
VfR Neumünster starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,624).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Neumünster have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Eckernförder SV have 2, 0 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 17, 2025 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 VfR Neumünster win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Eckernförder SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Eckernförder SV 1-3 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 15, 2024 | VfR Neumünster 1-1 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 24, 2024 | VfR Neumünster 3-2 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Eckernförder SV 2-1 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Eckernförder SV vs VfR Neumünster on Mar 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Eckernförder SV score 1.3 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Neumünster | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Eckernförder SV | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Neumünster sit 1st in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (13 points from 5 matches) and Eckernförder SV sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Neumünster | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 14 | Eckernförder SV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Neumünster vs Eckernförder SV?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 69%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Eckernförder SV.
- Where and when is VfR Neumünster vs Eckernförder SV played?
- VfR Neumünster vs Eckernförder SV is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Grümmi-Arena, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.