TSB Flensburg vs Heider SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Eckener Straße, Flensburg
The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Heider SV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSB Flensburg vs Heider SV?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate TSB Flensburg (1,752) and Heider SV (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSB Flensburg have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Heider SV have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 TSB Flensburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Heider SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Heider SV 4-1 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 19, 2024 | TSB Flensburg 0-5 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Heider SV 1-1 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 2, 2023 | TSB Flensburg 2-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Heider SV 2-4 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 3, 2022 | TSB Flensburg 4-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Heider SV vs TSB Flensburg on May 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSB Flensburg sit 4th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (10 points from 5 matches) and Heider SV sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSB Flensburg vs Heider SV?
- The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Heider SV.
- Where and when is TSB Flensburg vs Heider SV played?
- TSB Flensburg vs Heider SV is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Eckener Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.